Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000039 0.000041 0.000044 0.000046 0.000049 0.000053 0.000056
2025-09-07 0.000035 0.000038 0.000042 0.000046 0.000051 0.000057 0.000063
2025-09-14 0.000031 0.000035 0.000040 0.000045 0.000051 0.000058 0.000066
2025-09-21 0.000029 0.000033 0.000038 0.000044 0.000051 0.000059 0.000069
2025-09-28 0.000027 0.000031 0.000036 0.000042 0.000050 0.000059 0.000071
2025-10-05 0.000025 0.000029 0.000034 0.000041 0.000049 0.000059 0.000072
2025-10-12 0.000023 0.000028 0.000033 0.000040 0.000049 0.000060 0.000075
2025-10-19 0.000023 0.000027 0.000033 0.000040 0.000050 0.000062 0.000078
2025-10-26 0.000022 0.000027 0.000033 0.000041 0.000051 0.000064 0.000083
2025-11-02 0.000022 0.000027 0.000033 0.000041 0.000052 0.000067 0.000088
2025-11-09 0.000020 0.000025 0.000032 0.000040 0.000052 0.000067 0.000089
2025-11-16 0.000019 0.000024 0.000031 0.000039 0.000051 0.000067 0.000090
2025-11-23 0.000019 0.000024 0.000031 0.000040 0.000053 0.000070 0.000096
2025-11-30 0.000019 0.000024 0.000030 0.000040 0.000053 0.000072 0.000101
2025-12-07 0.000018 0.000023 0.000029 0.000039 0.000052 0.000071 0.000102
2025-12-14 0.000017 0.000022 0.000028 0.000037 0.000051 0.000071 0.000102
2025-12-21 0.000016 0.000021 0.000027 0.000036 0.000050 0.000070 0.000103
2025-12-28 0.000015 0.000020 0.000026 0.000035 0.000049 0.000069 0.000103
2026-01-04 0.000014 0.000019 0.000025 0.000035 0.000049 0.000070 0.000105
2026-01-11 0.000014 0.000019 0.000025 0.000035 0.000049 0.000071 0.000109
2026-01-18 0.000014 0.000019 0.000025 0.000035 0.000050 0.000074 0.000114
2026-01-25 0.000014 0.000018 0.000025 0.000035 0.000051 0.000076 0.000120
2026-02-01 0.000013 0.000018 0.000024 0.000035 0.000051 0.000076 0.000122